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UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker Rundown

What to Expect:

Welcome, all to the UFC rundown! The goal of this article is to identify the top DFS and betting options for UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker. We will be going through fight-by-fight with predictions to help you identify the best fantasy and betting opportunities on the board. As you may have seen in last week’s Fight Night, the UFC Apex has a smaller octagon than we would typically say in these events. 25 ft compared to the standard 30 feet. If you watched a lot of those fights, you would realize that there are a lot more chances to win by finish with the smaller octagon. This should be a trend that continues this week.


Jordan Griffin vs. Youssef Zalal

It’s hard to tell who’s going to win between these two fighters. On the one hand, you have Zalal, who was able to land six takedowns in his UFC debut that led to a win by decision.  not only did he land six takedowns, but this was on 12 attempts. So we know that he’s very eager to go for these takedowns regularly, which is suitable for Fantasy scoring purposes. In his last three fights, Jordan Griffin only defended 42% of all takedown attempts against him. This means that Zalal has a chance of scoring quite a few fantasy points through takedowns alone.

On the other hand, Jordan Griffin was taken down seven times in his last fight against TJ Brown in February, where he ended up winning by submission in the middle of the second round. Both love going for submission attempts averaging 2.74 and 2 respectively for each fighter though I have to give the edge to Zalal, who is more active on the ground.

Zalal by Decision


Kay Hanson vs. Jinh Yu Frey

Both fighters will be making their UFC debuts though Hansen is doing it at a much younger age than Frey. Watching past Invicta fights, Hansen seems to be the more aggressive fighter overall as she tends to go for takedowns early and fights to want to keep them on the ground. Although she does have a strong ground game on her own, Frey’s fighting style lends to a much slower pace. Training at an outstanding Jiu-Jitsu school. This should be a close fight, but I give the edge to Hansen, believing that her aggressiveness will work for her much better than Frey’s patient fighting style.

Hanson by Decision


Takashi Sato vs. Jason Witt

I would assume that this fight stays on the feet because neither fighter tends to go for takedowns too often. In Sato’s two UFC appearances, he has a KO win and a submission loss. Looking at what Jason Witt has done leading up to his UFC debut, I’m not very much impressed as far as fantasy is concerned. He has three straight decision wins but doesn’t seem to do much to rostering him in fantasy. Because of his power, I believe that Sato has the edge here. But I also said the same thing about Frank Camacho last week, and look where that brought us.

Sato by Finish (TKO)


Luis Pena vs. Khama Worthy

With five more UFC appearances under his belt than Worthy does, Luis Pena is the more polished fighter of the two. As we’ve seen in some of his past fights, Pena does have finishing upside, knocking out Matt Wiman and submitting Richie Smullen back on The Ultimate Fighter. I guess that this fight will remain on the feet for the majority. Pena is averaging 1.45 takedown attempts in his last three fights. They did not attempt a takedown in his UFC debut back in August of last year. Worthy has the striking edge, he averaged 12 strikes attempts per minute, landing 41% of them on his way to a KO win. Pena’sPena’s strike defense of 49% might be to his detriment here. I like the upset here.

Worthy by Finish (KO)


Sean Woodson vs. Julian Erosa

I don’t expect this fight to be very close at all, considering that Sean Woodson is a far better striker than Julian Erosa could ever imagine. In his last three fights, DeRosa has absorbed nine significant strikes per minute on his way to being knocked out in two of them. Meanwhile, Sean Woodson averaged 16.73 strike attempts per minute in his UFC debut that ended in a decision win. I think Julian Erosa would be considered lucky if he managed to finish the second round. Otherwise, I believe Woodson will win by knockout in the vast majority of times you play this fight out.

Woodson by Finish (TKO)


Philipe Lins vs. Tanner Boser

Neither fighter has shown anything too impressive in the three combined fights that they have in the UFC. At the very least, Tanner Boser won a fight back in October of last year by decision. Considering that neither of these fighters has a ground game, it’s essential to look at the discrepancies in their striking. Boser is averaging 10.07 strike attempts per minute, while Lins only averaged 6.6 in his UFC debut. Boser has also been landing 4.17 strikes per minute. This leads me to believe that he has the advantage in this fight.

Boser by Decision


Brendan Allen vs. Kyle Daukaus

This one should be exciting, considering that both fighters have the potential to finish off their opponents reasonably quickly. Daukaus looks to have a solid Jiu-Jitsu game viewing that he has submitted eight of his opponents in his professional MMA career thus far. On the other side with Brandon Allen, we’ve seen that he can finish opponents in the UFC both by submission and by knockout. He was recently doing the ladder to Tom Breese back in February. When it comes to the striking, Daukaus might have a slight advantage due to a higher striking volume overall. Still, I don’t think that the edge is huge. More times than not, I believe that Brandon Allen, when’s the fight via finish in one way or another. But that’s not to say that Kyle Daukaus should be omitted from daily fantasy lineups. This is one of those fights where I would have at least one of the two fighters in every lineup.

Allen by Finish (KO) (Have exposure to both sides if playing multiple lineups!)


Gian Villante vs. Maurice Greene 

Considering that both fighters lack takedown ability, this should be a fight that is played out primarily on the feet in an exciting manner. In their last three fights, Villante and Greene have averaged 12.03 and 14.55 strike attempts per minute. They are both landing and defending strike attempts at 40% and 52%, respectively as well. In terms of total volume, Maurice Greene is landing 6.17 significant strikes per minute, while Gian Villante only averages 4.83. I expect Greene to win the fight, though, with any heavyweight bout, one punch can change everything quickly.

Greene by Finish (KO)


Mike Perry vs. Mickey Gall

When I was looking at the Vegas lines and saw that Mike Perry was a -331 favorite, it didn’t seem to make all that much sense. Mike Perry should be the favorite in this fight to win, but not by this much. When you look at Mickey Gall, he has a far superior grappling game that can give him the advantage to win this fight. In his last three fights, Mickey Gall is averaging 6.68 takedown attempts while landing 4.68. all of this can be moot because Mike Perry has not been taken down once in his UFC career. Of course, Mike Perry has the advantage in the Striking Department, landing far more strikes per minute and throwing out much more. I do think Mike Perry wins this fight, but I wouldn’t be shocked if Gall ended up submitting Perry.

Perry by Finish (KO)


Dustin Poirier vs. Hooker

This is going to be a more interesting Main Event than we have had in the past couple weeks at the Apex. Both Dustin Poirier and Dan Hooker are very high-volume Strikers that throw a lot of power behind their punches. Both have extreme knock out upside, meaning that the most likely outcome for this fight is to finish inside the distance. Hooker might have a slight advantage in the striking department because he’s throwing and Landing more strikes per minute then Poirier is in his last three fights. But then when you look at the grappling, Poirier has a clear advantage because he is gone for takedowns whereas Dan Hooker has not. As far as fantasy is concerned, you’re going to need to have exposure to both sides of this fight because both Fighters have the potential to finish the other. More often than not, I believe that Dustin Poirier will finish Dan Hooker rather than the other way around.

Poirier by Finish (TKO)